在市场需求逐步提升的吸引下,原本只推出纯电动车的新势力品牌,开始走增程混动的技术路线,比如小鹏、智己、阿维塔等等,就连只有一款纯电动车在售的小米,也瞄上了增程混动。
继小米首款SUV YU7曝光之后,小米第二款SUV的谍照随之曝光。从谍照来看,小米这款SUV的车身造型比较传统,更像是一款理想L系列产品,似乎与小米YU7大相径庭。
图源:微博@拉面师傅Design
根据德意志银行发布的小米研报,小米汽车将会在2026年推出一款大型插混SUV,网传内部代号为“昆仑”,2027年再推出两款插电混动SUV。结合小米招聘公布的相关信息,我们可以推断出小米的第二款SUV是一款增程混动SUV。
热衷于操控乐趣的雷军,为什么要推出这款极具中庸之道的SUV?
先造自己喜欢的,再造用户想要的
在2024雷军年度演讲中,雷军透露“内部的想法就是先造一辆小米工程师想买的车”,因此才诞生一款外观个性,且性能和操控都足够出彩的小米SU7。
最近官宣的小米YU7,虽然采用SUV的身材,但电车通留意到,小米YU7的设计细节和小米SU7一样非常注重空气动力学优化,结合双尾翼设计以及总功率超500kW的双电机系统等信息,不难推断出小米YU7是一款兼顾运动感和操控体验的SUV。
图源:工信部
小米SU7是成功的,但国内市场上成绩比小米SU7更出色的车型还有不少。雷军早在2023年就提出,小米汽车未来的目标是争取在15~20年内进入世界前五,但每月过两万的销量,很难说服全球消费者这是一个实力排在世界前五的车企。
雷军所说的目标,决定了小米汽车不能只推出主打操控乐趣的产品,高性价比的中庸产品必然会在小米汽车的涉猎范围之内。
因此,电车通对小米增程SUV曝光的消息没有感到一点意外,只是小米的发展策略是“先造自己喜欢的,再造用户想要的”,而不是和新势力一样起初就去迎合消费者。
现在问题来了,谍照中的小米增程SUV是不是用户想要的呢?
这个问题即便交给消费者自己来回答,也说不清楚自己到底喜欢怎样的设计或者车身造型,但是他们能够直观感受到配置、空间、动力、续航等方面在各个产品之间的优势。
图源:微博@SugarDesign
这就很好地解释了为何小米增程SUV要采用比较方正的车身造型:这个造型虽然会提高整车风阻系数,但可以在最大程度上保证后排乘客的头部空间和储物空间,这正是大部分家庭用户喜闻乐见的。
谍照中暂未透露小米增程SUV的设计细节,电车通猜测小米增程SUV可能会沿用家族车型的“米”字型大灯组,但在工信部、官方等权威信息发布之前,所有的分析都只是猜测。
不从国内新能源SUV市场的基本情况来看,走简约风的Model Y、理想L系列,以及沿用多年“龙脸”设计语言的宋系列、唐系列,似乎都表明家用SUV只要做到不难看、秉持中庸之道,依靠产品实力就可以被广大消费者认可,而且以现阶段的风评来看,网友对小米汽车设计的槽点主要集中在“与其他豪华车产品相似”上,并没有多少网友认为小米SU7、小米YU7不好看。
基本可以确定,设计和车身造型不会成为小米增程SUV畅销的阻力。
成为全球前五,小米用增程征服海外用户?
雷军曾直言,“未来的汽车市场将只剩下五家车企,年销售1000万辆是存活下来的门槛”。然而,年销量1000万辆的成绩,去年只有丰田集团一家车企实现。
丰田能成为全球车企销量之王其实不难理解,旗下的普锐斯、RAV4荣放、卡罗拉等车型是绝大部分用户都能买得起的产品,因此小米汽车要想实现1000万辆的年销量,最重要的途径之一自然是要推出皮实耐用的亲民产品。
国内新能源车的市场年需求量也就1000万辆左右,小米要想拿下1000万辆年销量,除了要征服国内消费者、推出售价更亲民的产品之外,出海也是其中不可或缺的一环。
在电车通看来,开发增程混动技术恰恰是小米大规模出海的佐证之一。
截图:小米招聘
小米SU7已经在俄罗斯等海外市场销售,产品售价高达790万卢布,终端可优惠70万卢布左右,终端报价折合人民币约为53.95万元,而在国内市场的SU7四驱超长续航高阶智驾Max版也只售29.99万元。这一现象并不稀奇,毕竟车企还需要缴纳关税、增值税、消费税等税费,车企唯有提高产品售价来平衡成本,但这并不利于品牌的发展。
再者,欧盟的新关税政策对从中国进口的纯电动车征收更多关税,这意味着小米如果以纯电动车企的姿态进入海外市场,很难在当地打出价格优势,要想打破这一局面,小米汽车就需要考虑可以享受免税政策的混动车型。
据路透社报道,蔚来汽车计划于2026年推出其首款混合动力车型,并将仅面向中东、北非、欧盟等海外市场销售,转型的背后多多少少受到政策方面的影响。
截图:路透社
当然,政策更容易受到环境变化而变化,海外市场的现实条件才是“纯电动品牌”纷纷推出混动车的根本原因。
相比之下,海外市场的充电体系普遍没有国内市场那么完善,消费者对纯电动车的接受度并不高,而且海外市场的燃油资源比较丰富,加油成本不算高,对于不依赖充电桩的混动车有着越来越高的消费热情。
根据欧洲汽车制造商协会公布的数据,今年11月份,欧盟范围内新车的销量约为106万辆,同比下降了1.9%,全年唯一持续增长的动力车型正是混合动力车型,市场占比从去年11月的27.5%,提升至33.2%,而纯电动车、汽油车和柴油车的销量都有比较明显的下滑,其中纯电动车的市场份额从去年11月份的16.3%,下降至15%。
欧洲市场已经是对新能源比较开放的少数海外市场之一,纯电动车在欧洲市场没有太明显的起色,至少说明现阶段的海外市场,还是以燃油动力为主,小米发力混动车市场远比比ALL IN纯电动更有前景。
图源:电车通摄制
小米汽车全球化,路漫漫其修远
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图源:德意志银行
当然,口号喊得响亮是没有用的。小米入局增程已成定局,首要任务就是能够击败其他主推混动家用SUV的品牌,比如理想、鸿蒙智行等等。
目前关于小米首款增程SUV的消息很少,电车通猜测新车可能会对标同为大型SUV的理想L9或者问界M9,而这两款SUV在市场上都已经被贴上“舒适”“豪华”等标签,而且今年广州车展亮相的腾势N9,也有可能是小米增程SUV的另一关键竞争对手。
此外,小米的增程技术还没有落地,相比其他新势力品牌步伐稍迟缓了一些,但只要产品力够,何时发力都不算晚。更何况,小米汽车还具备“人车家生态”的体系优势,这是其他新势力品牌难以做到的。
在文章最后,电车通套用雷军的话来总结:车市从来都不是什么爽文,小米进军全球市场之路依然遥远,加油!
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